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Andrew McCutchen Is Hitting It Big Again With The Pirates

A year after Albert Pujols found the fountain of youth and spent his final season setting major league pitching on fire, the old-guy star of the 2023 season hasn’t been…
fivethirtyeight
7
2023-04-26 16:26

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Can Fernando Tatis Jr. Still Mash After A Year Away From MLB?

Bob Melvin played 10 years in the big leagues, and has managed for another 20. Yet the San Diego Padres’ skipper freely admitted that he has no idea exactly what…
fivethirtyeight
8
2023-04-25 12:00

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Why Is Anthony Richardson Suddenly The NFL Draft’s Hottest Prospect?

Each spring, NFL prospects rocket up mock draft boards for both obvious and inscrutable reasons. Sometimes it’s due to a player’s performance at the NFL combine or pro day where…
fivethirtyeight
8
2023-04-24 12:00

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The Bucks Would Be In Big Trouble Without Brook Lopez

When two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo tumbled to the court in the first quarter of the Milwaukee Bucks’ series-opening loss against the Miami Heat, the No. 1 seed in the Eastern…
fivethirtyeight
6
2023-04-21 12:00

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Who Won The 2023 WNBA Draft?

Every WNBA draft has the potential to reshape the league. But Monday’s picks might carry more of that capability than most. Last year’s worst teams just got a lot better.…
fivethirtyeight
8
2023-04-14 12:00

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The NHL Playoffs Are Here. Can Anyone Stop The Big, Bad Bruins?

The puck drops on the 2023 NHL playoffs on Monday, which means the most grueling postseason in all of professional sports will soon commence. In anticipation, let’s run down the…
fivethirtyeight
8
2023-04-13 12:00

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The Mets Assembled The Most Expensive Baseball Team Ever. Is That Enough To Make Them MLB’s Best Team?

As the 2022 season ended, the New York Mets and owner Steve Cohen were wrapping up a major-league payroll record by shelling out about $430 million in salaries plus luxury…
fivethirtyeight
8
2023-04-12 12:00

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Our New Live In-Game Win Probabilities Are Here For The NBA Playoffs

The NBA playoffs are almost here, with the play-in tournament tipping off later tonight. But while the regular season was careening toward a dramatic finish, we were hard at work…
fivethirtyeight
8
2023-04-11 12:00

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No Play-In Team Has Won An NBA Playoff Series. Will That Change This Season?

As the NBA’s annual play-in tournament plays out over the next few days, we’re sure to hear a lot of talk about which of the teams involved is the greatest…
fivethirtyeight
10
2023-04-11 12:00

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It’s Rough Out There In Dallas. But It’s Not Kyrie Irving’s Fault.

Kyrie Irving’s tenure with the Dallas Mavericks could not have had a brighter beginning. Following a Feb. 6 trade, Irving faced the Los Angeles Clippers without Dallas’s superstar leader Luka…
fivethirtyeight
8
2023-04-10 16:59

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Your MLB Team Just Started Hot (Or Cold). How Much Does That Matter?

It warms this writer’s baseball-loving heart to see the MLB standings finally beginning to fill in anew this spring. Yes, that’s with an emphasis on “beginning” — we’re only a…
fivethirtyeight
5
2023-04-05 15:05

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UConn Left No Doubt About Its Greatness. But Did The Huskies Finally Win Respect?

With apologies to fans of Florida Atlantic, Miami and San Diego State, three-quarters of the 2023 men’s Final Four didn’t look like they belonged there. One year after we got…
fivethirtyeight
8
2023-04-04 19:15

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LSU Played The Perfect Game To Take Down Caitlin Clark And Iowa

There were many impressive things about LSU’s victory over Iowa in the women’s NCAA Tournament championship game Sunday — from the Tigers’ first basketball title in school history to Kim…
fivethirtyeight
8
2023-04-03 18:19
March 2023

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The Big Winners From A Mad First Week Of The Men’s NCAA Tournament

The opening weekend of the 2023 men’s NCAA Tournament certainly delivered on its widely anticipated madness. Four of the 10 teams with the highest pre-tournament championship odds according to FiveThirtyEight’s…
fivethirtyeight
5
2023-03-20 18:21

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The Knicks’ Winning Streak Is Over. The Reasons It Happened Are Here To Stay.

Before losing to the Charlotte Hornets in somewhat embarrassing fashion on Tuesday night, the New York Knicks had been the hottest team in professional basketball. If you’ve paid any attention…
fivethirtyeight
8
2023-03-08 17:22

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Who’s The Team To Beat At The World Baseball Classic?

On top of all those strange new rules, there’s another twist to baseball this March: the return of the World Baseball Classic, the always-entertaining tournament that is essentially baseball’s equivalent…
fivethirtyeight
7
2023-03-08 12:00

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Don’t Be Shocked If Justin Verlander Keeps Defying Baseball’s Aging Curve

When the New York Mets signed Justin Verlander to a two-year, $86 million contract in December, there were a few reasonable ways for fans to look at it. Yes, Verlander…
fivethirtyeight
5
2023-03-07 12:00

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The Winners And Losers From MLB’s New Rules

We knew MLB’s sweeping rule changes were going to shake up baseball heading into the 2023 season. But it’s been fascinating to watch exactly how much of an adjustment players…
fivethirtyeight
5
2023-03-06 15:46
February 2023

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Our Not-Quite-Midseason NBA Awards

The NBA All-Star break is here — and as is our tradition, that means it’s time to hand out some awards. For some reason, we in the NBA media still…
fivethirtyeight
8
2023-02-17 12:00

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Purdue And Zach Edey Have Defied Expectations Again. Can They Do It In March?

The Purdue Boilermakers had already tasted success when Matt Painter was named head coach of the men’s basketball team 19 years ago. Sure, they weren’t a blue blood like their…
fivethirtyeight
9
2023-02-16 12:00

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Patrick Mahomes Earned A Huge Raise. So The Chiefs Got Creative With Their Roster-Building.

Already one of the best quarterbacks ever, Patrick Mahomes found room to get better in 2022. Mahomes leveled up against zone coverage in particular and won his second MVP award…
fivethirtyeight
8
2023-02-15 12:00

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The Eagles Played Their A-Game, But The Chiefs Had Patrick Mahomes

maya (Maya Sweedler, editor): Super Bowl LVII has just ended, and not a single part of the game disappointed. (We’ll get into *that* penalty call later.) In a long-awaited matchup…
fivethirtyeight
7
2023-02-13 06:42
January 2023

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How The Eagles Built A Winner By Overdrafting Quarterbacks

According to most of the football world, Jalen Hurts should not be a Philadelphia Eagle. Even Hurts was incredulous at the beginning. When his phone rang on draft day and…
fivethirtyeight
11
2023-01-26 12:00

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Liverpool Can’t Spend Its Way Out Of This Mess

When the 2022-23 Premier League season began, the FiveThirtyEight Club Soccer Predictions model gave Liverpool the second-best odds of winning the title. More than five months and 20 matchweeks later,…
fivethirtyeight
10
2023-01-25 12:00

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Rudy Gobert Was Supposed To Take The T-Wolves To The Next Level. Why Isn’t It Working?

After making just their second playoff appearance in nearly 20 years, the Minnesota Timberwolves entered full win-now mode with a blockbuster trade during the offseason — sending five players and…
fivethirtyeight
10
2023-01-25 12:00

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3 Players Could Fall Agonizingly Short Of Baseball Hall Of Fame Election This Year

The election for the Baseball Hall of Fame is fun again — mostly. After a decade of debate over whether baseball bad boys such as Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens and…
fivethirtyeight
10
2023-01-24 16:17

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How NBA Teams Are Bringing The Post-Up Back To Life

The NBA is in the midst of an offensive explosion, with 14 of the best 15 historical offensive ratings for teams coming in the past four seasons. The Boston Celtics…
fivethirtyeight
11
2023-01-24 12:00

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NBA Stars Are Stuffing Stat Sheets Like Never Before. But Why?

It’s usually a special occasion when LeBron James has one of his patented statistical eruptions. In Monday’s victory over the Houston Rockets, James notched a hyper-efficient 48 points, to go…
fivethirtyeight
10
2023-01-20 12:00

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